NHC Weather Outlook

Tropical Storm Peter Forecast Advisory


000
WTNT21 KNHC 201444
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM PETER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162021
1500 UTC MON SEP 20 2021

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND
PUERTO RICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N  60.9W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......110NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N  60.9W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N  60.3W

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 20.1N  62.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...110NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 20.8N  64.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 21.8N  66.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 22.7N  67.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 23.5N  68.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 24.5N  68.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 26.5N  67.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 28.6N  66.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.5N  60.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER LATTO




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