Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

The Tropical Weather Outlook discusses significant areas of disturbed weather and their potential for development during the next 7 days, including a categorical forecast of the probability of tropical cyclone formation during the first 48 hours, and during the entire 7-day forecast period. The 48 h and 7-day probabilities of formation for each disturbance are given to the nearest 10% and expressed in terms of one of the following categories: low probability of development (0-30%), medium probability (40-60%), and high probability of development (70-100%). The Tropical Weather Outlook is issued every six hours from 15 May–30 November for the Atlantic and Eastern North Pacific basins, and from 1 June–30 November for the Central North Pacific Basins at 0000, 0600, 1200, 1800 UTC.

Interactive Map Outlook

All three basins are combined inside the interactive map. Click on active polygons for more information.

Tropical Weather Outlook Legend

Atlantic Outlook Images

Atlantic Current Disturbances Tropical Weather Outlook Graphic
Atlantic 2 Day Tropical Weather Outlook Graphic
Atlantic 7 Day Tropical Weather Outlook Graphic
219 
ABNT20 KNHC 071109
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Jul 7 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Kelly

Eastern Pacific Outlook Images

Eastern Pacific Current Disturbances Tropical Weather Outlook Graphic
Eastern Pacific 2 Day Tropical Weather Outlook Graphic
Eastern Pacific 7 Day Tropical Weather Outlook Graphic
334 
ABPZ20 KNHC 071149
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Tue Jul 7 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Central Pacific:
A developing area of low pressure located well to the southeast of 
the Hawaiian Islands is currently producing disorganized showers 
and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear favorable for 
additional development of this system later this week into the 
weekend, and a tropical depression could form by that time as the 
system moves westward to west-northwestward across the central 
Pacific, remaining south of the Hawaiian Islands.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
A low pressure system is expected to form late this weekend or 
early next week several hundred miles south of the coast of 
southwestern Mexico. Gradual development is possible after that 
time as the system moves west-northwestward. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin/Katz

Central Pacific Outlook Images

Central Pacific Current Disturbances Tropical Weather Outlook Graphic
Central Pacific 2 Day Tropical Weather Outlook Graphic
Central Pacific 7 Day Tropical Weather Outlook Graphic
335 
ACPN50 PHFO 071149
TWOCP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM HST Tue Jul 07 2026

For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W:

Central Pacific:
A developing area of low pressure located well to the southeast of
the Hawaiian Islands is currently producing disorganized showers
and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear favorable for
additional development of this system later this week into the
weekend, and a tropical depression could form by that time as the
system moves westward to west-northwestward across the central
Pacific, remaining south of the Hawaiian Islands.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin/Katz
NNNN


Hurricane tracking and tropical outlook weather data is provided courtesy of the National Hurricane Center