Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

The Tropical Weather Outlook discusses significant areas of disturbed weather and their potential for development during the next 7 days, including a categorical forecast of the probability of tropical cyclone formation during the first 48 hours, and during the entire 7-day forecast period. The 48 h and 7-day probabilities of formation for each disturbance are given to the nearest 10% and expressed in terms of one of the following categories: low probability of development (0-30%), medium probability (40-60%), and high probability of development (70-100%). The Tropical Weather Outlook is issued every six hours from 15 May–30 November for the Atlantic and Eastern North Pacific basins, and from 1 June–30 November for the Central North Pacific Basins at 0000, 0600, 1200, 1800 UTC.

Interactive Map

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Tropical Weather Outlook Legend

Atlantic Outlook Images

Atlantic Current Disturbances Tropical Weather Outlook Graphic
Atlantic 2 Day Tropical Weather Outlook Graphic
Atlantic 7 Day Tropical Weather Outlook Graphic
898 
ABNT20 KNHC 231727
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Tue Jul 23 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Hagen/Berg

Eastern Pacific Outlook Images

Eastern Pacific Current Disturbances Tropical Weather Outlook Graphic
Eastern Pacific 2 Day Tropical Weather Outlook Graphic
Eastern Pacific 7 Day Tropical Weather Outlook Graphic
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 231739
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Tue Jul 23 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore Southwestern Mexico (EP93):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low 
pressure located a few hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, 
Mexico have changed little in organization during the past several 
hours.  Environmental conditions appear favorable for slow 
development over the next couple of days while the disturbance moves 
generally west-northwestward, remaining offshore of southwestern 
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

Central and Western East Pacific:
A tropical wave located several hundred miles south-southwest of the 
southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula is producing 
disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity.  Environmental 
conditions appear only marginally conducive for some slight 
development of this system over the next few days while it moves 
westward to west-northwestward around 10 mph across the central 
and western portions of the basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hagen/Berg

Central Pacific Outlook Images

Central Pacific Current Disturbances Tropical Weather Outlook Graphic
Central Pacific 2 Day Tropical Weather Outlook Graphic
Central Pacific 7 Day Tropical Weather Outlook Graphic
000
ACPN50 PHFO 231742
TWOCP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI
800 AM HST Tue Jul 23 2024

For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W:

No tropical cyclones are expected through the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Powell

Hurricane tracking and tropical outlook weather data is provided courtesy of the National Hurricane Center