361 WTPZ42 KNHC 102037 TCDEP2 Tropical Storm Barbara Discussion Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP022025 200 PM MST Tue Jun 10 2025 This afternoon's satellite presentation shows Barbara quickly spinning down. Deep convection associated with the cyclone has diminished considerably during the past few hours and has revealed an exposed surface circulation well to the northeast of a mid-level center. The initial intensity is once again lowered, to 35 kt, and is based on a blend of the various subjective and objective satellite intensity estimates. Based on current convective trends and the global models, Barbara should become a remnant low later tonight while it continues moving over cooler waters and into a harsh atmospheric environment. Barbara has been moving to the right of track within the peripheral steering flow of the low- to mid-level high anchored over central Mexico. Consequently, the initial motion is estimated to be northward or 010/7 kt. Barbara should continue this general motion through dissipation on Wednesday. The official track forecast is adjusted to the right of the previous advisory and lies close to the ECMWF and TVCE consensus models. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 10/2100Z 20.9N 108.1W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 11/0600Z 21.7N 107.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 11/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Mora/Roberts
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