Pacific Hurricane Feed

Tropical Depression Seventeen-E Forecast Advisory Number 1

Published Date and Time: 2025-10-09 10:39:00



Issued at 1500 UTC THU OCT 09 2025

000
WTPZ22 KNHC 091439
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVENTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172025
1500 UTC THU OCT 09 2025
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 100.8W AT 09/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 100.8W AT 09/1500Z
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 100.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 16.8N 102.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 18.1N 105.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 19.8N 107.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 21.4N 109.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 23.3N 111.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 25.5N 111.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 29.2N 110.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  15 KT...GUSTS  20 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 100.8W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPEP2...AT 09/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG



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