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Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 969












Mesoscale Discussion 969
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0969
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0253 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024

   Areas affected...central Texas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 313...

   Valid 260753Z - 261000Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 313
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Risk for large hail, and a damaging gust or two, continues
   across the Concho Valley vicinity of central Texas.

   DISCUSSION...A band of strong/locally severe storms continues moving
   across west-central and central Texas at this time, within an rather
   narrow corridor of maximized CAPE extending from roughly SPS to DRT.
   While severe risk should continue with this convection over the next
   1 to 2 hours, it appears that risk gradually decreases with eastward
   extent, east of the zone of greater instability.  CAM output
   generally confirms a weakening of the convection with time as it
   shifts eastward.  As such, the leading edge of the stronger
   convection -- now moving into Coleman County -- may begin to
   diminish in the next 1 to 2 hours as storms cross the Brown County
   vicinity and reach Comanche/Mills/Hamilton Counties.

   Meanwhile, severe potential should continue locally across the
   remaining portions of WW 313.

   ..Goss.. 05/26/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...FWD...SJT...MAF...

   LAT...LON   31130184 32119961 32409921 32469837 31159854 30820053
               31130184 


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