Mesoscale Discussion 0090 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0511 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Areas affected...southeast MS and southwest AL Concerning...Tornado Watch 5...6... Valid 122311Z - 130045Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 5, 6 continues. SUMMARY...Primary tornado threat will persist near the warm front, especially with discrete/semi-discrete supercells that cross/remain anchored along it. A strong tornado is possible. DISCUSSION...Several supercells have occurred over the past hour, mainly from parts of south-central MS into southwest AL. The environment will remain quite conductive to low-level rotation, especially near/along the wavy west/east-oriented warm front that extends roughly from Simpson County, MS to Montgomery County, AL. Discrete and semi-discrete supercells that can continue to regenerate across eastern LA into southeast MS will be the most likely candidates for eventually sustaining a longer-lived tornado as they impinge on the vorticity-enriched warm front. Overall setup, with peak STP having increased to a 3 as of 22Z, should favor potential for a strong tornado. The northern extent of the tornado threat will be limited by cooler temperatures. Per early afternoon observed and RAP forecast soundings, as storms move north of the 65-66 F isodrosotherm, the tornado threat will diminish. Surface winds deeper into the warm sector across LA are slightly veered and modulating to some extent low-level hodograph curvature. ..Grams.. 02/12/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...JAN...LIX... LAT...LON 31109067 31898980 32218923 32268857 32268711 32168681 31958668 31688672 31578694 31168782 30768868 30578947 30609048 30749082 31109067
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