US Mesoscale Discussions

Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 836

   Mesoscale Discussion 0836
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0351 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

   Areas affected...Southwest into Central Kansas...northeast Texas
   Panhandle...northwest Oklahoma

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 260...

   Valid 192051Z - 192245Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 260

   SUMMARY...The threat for very-large hail, significant wind gusts,
   and tornadoes will continue into the evening.

   DISCUSSION...The greatest tornado risk within WW 260 exists near
   Russell, KS. There was a recent report of a tornado west of Russell
   at 2027Z. The environment downstream of this storm should remain
   favorable for very-large hail (severe 2+ in. reports are associated
   with this storm over the past 90 minutes), severe wind gusts (71 kts
   measured at KRSL), and tornadoes. The surface observation at Salina
   shows 91/60, which would suggest some reduction in low-level RH. The
   eastern extent of the tornado threat with this storm is the main

   Farther west, a cluster of high-based thunderstorms continues into
   western Kansas. This activity has the potential to become more
   intense/organized as it encounters low/mid 60s F dewpoints farther
   east. Most guidance has been insistent on this activity becoming a
   bowing segment with the potential for significant (75+ mph) wind

   Storms moving out of the Texas Panhandle into northwest Oklahoma
   have so far struggled to maintain intensity, most likely due to
   limited moisture. As with storms to the north,
   intensification/organization is possible as greater low-level
   moisture is ingested. With these storms remaining more discrete, a
   tornado threat is still possible, particularly as the low-level jet
   increases this evening.

   ..Wendt.. 05/19/2024

   ...Please see for graphic product...


   LAT...LON   35639976 35930068 36720193 38230200 39069985 39519820
               39369673 38359647 37189749 35829882 35639976 

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