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Mesoscale Discussion 804 | |
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Mesoscale Discussion 0804 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0325 PM CDT Thu May 16 2024 Areas affected...northern Arkansas...south eastern Missouri...southern Illinois...far western Kentucky Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 162025Z - 162230Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Marginal wind and hail risk through the evening. DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm activity is expected to increase in coverage this afternoon and evening across portions of the Ozarks to the middle Mississippi Valley. A few more organized clusters and a supercell or two may be possible as forcing increases from a mid-level speed max moves across this region later in the evening amid MLCAPE increasing to around 1000-1500 J/kg. A few instances of severe hail and damaging wind will be possible. A watch is unlikely to be needed, as this threat will remain isolated. ..Thornton/Thompson.. 05/16/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...LSX...LZK...SGF...TSA... LAT...LON 36659306 37139222 37939057 38098894 37728808 36998802 36698829 36228917 35639031 35439115 35309232 35389291 35669359 36319334 36659306 |
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