Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 795

   Mesoscale Discussion 0795
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0548 PM CDT Tue May 19 2026

   Areas affected...much of central Texas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 232...

   Valid 192248Z - 200045Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 232
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Slow-moving cells continue to pose locally damaging hail
   and wind threat from the Trans-Pecos through the Hill Country.
   Additional areas east of WW 232 may eventually need to be in a
   watch.

   DISCUSSION...A very moist and unstable air mass exists south of the
   main cold front draped west-east across central TX. Severe storms
   remain ongoing from Sanderson to San Angelo, with new development
   along the front west of Waco TX.

   Given the slow movement of these storms, most of the activity should
   remain in WW 232, however, the new development east of the watch
   will likely need to be addressed as hail and locally severe
   downbursts may occur. 

   Eventually, merging outflows will favor upscale growth into an MCS,
   with damaging wind potential spreading east/southeast.

   ..Jewell.. 05/19/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD...EWX...SJT...MAF...

   LAT...LON   29790222 29830262 30050275 30250271 30600228 31020170
               31340101 31290033 31149964 31209888 31479833 31899788
               31979747 31779705 31329650 30829633 30539635 30209667
               29869810 29770123 29790222 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN