Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 793

   Mesoscale Discussion 0793
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0224 PM CDT Wed May 15 2024

   Areas affected...Portions of southern NC into SC

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 245...

   Valid 151924Z - 152130Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 245
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Scattered damaging winds and severe hail should occur with
   thunderstorms moving eastward across parts of southern North
   Carolina into South Carolina this afternoon.

   DISCUSSION...Multiple thunderstorms have developed this afternoon
   along/near a surface front that remains draped across parts of
   western/southern NC, near the SC border. Marginally severe hail has
   occurred with some of this initially more discrete activity. Recent
   tendency has been for some clustering to occur near the boundary in
   southern NC. The threat for scattered damaging winds should increase
   as these small clusters spread eastward over the next couple of
   hours, as low-level lapse rates continue to steepen with diurnal
   heating amid low/mid-level westerly winds gradually strengthening
   with height. Farther south into SC, a more isolated/cellular mode
   amid 35-40 kt of deep-layer shear should support a continued threat
   for severe hail, along with occasional strong/damaging winds.

   ..Gleason.. 05/15/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...MHX...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...GSP...

   LAT...LON   35598204 35818134 35357993 34917754 34117779 33247915
               33508175 34438249 35598204