Mesoscale Discussion 0778 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0458 AM CDT Tue May 14 2024 Areas affected...North FL into south GA Concerning...Tornado Watch 240... Valid 140958Z - 141130Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 240 continues. SUMMARY...Some threat for isolated damaging wind may spread farther into south Georgia and north Florida this morning. DISCUSSION...A band of convection that earlier developed along the periphery of a weakening MCS is now moving eastward, to the east of the Tallahassee area. While this convection is rather vigorous, with some cooling cloud tops noted in IR imagery, it remains rather disorganized at this time. However, with MLCAPE of 500-1000 J/kg and moderate deep-layer shear across the region, further organization of this convective band remains possible with time. If this occurs, some threat for damaging wind will spread farther into south GA and north FL, especially if the convective band can merge with new convection that has recently developed to its immediate south and southeast. The need for short-term watch issuance downstream of WW 240 remains uncertain, and will depend on short-term trends regarding intensity and organization of the ongoing cluster. Potential remains for an upstream cluster of storms (currently over the north-central Gulf of Mexico) to eventually move across the area later this morning, which could also pose a severe risk. ..Dean/Guyer.. 05/14/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...TBW...JAX...TAE... LAT...LON 29948200 29318238 28848281 28658364 28668411 28848445 29588393 30368388 30768400 30968328 31078237 30758186 29948200