Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 771

   Mesoscale Discussion 0771
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0509 PM CDT Mon May 13 2024

   Areas affected...Central Gulf Coast Vicinity

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely 

   Valid 132209Z - 132315Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

   SUMMARY...New severe thunderstorm watch will likely be issued soon.
   Large hail and damaging winds are the primary risks.

   DISCUSSION...MCS is propagating east across the lower Sabine River
   Valley and the leading edge of this activity is surging across
   Calcasieu into Jefferson Davis Parish. Damaging winds are likely
   associated with this surging bow and the downstream air mass appears
   more than buoyant enough to maintain this complex given the observed
   shear. New ww will be issued soon.

   ..Darrow/Hart.. 05/13/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...LCH...

   LAT...LON   30979241 30969065 29718998 29559244 30979241