Mesoscale Discussion 0762 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0651 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024 Areas affected...Far Southern Mississippi...Southern Alabama...Western Florida Panhandle Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 234... Valid 131151Z - 131345Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 234 continues. SUMMARY...Wind damage, hail and an isolated tornado threat will be possible this morning from far southern Mississippi into southern Alabama and the western Florida Panhandle. DISCUSSION...The latest hi-resolution radar imagery from Mobile, AL shows a cluster of thunderstorms over southern Mississippi and southern Alabama, with a couple embedded strong storms. This convection is located along a northwest-to-southeast gradient of instability, and appears to be elevated in nature. However, forecast soundings across the western Florida Panhandle have MUCAPE around 1000 J/kg, with effective shear near 60 knots and 0-3 storm-relative helicity just above 200 m2/s2. This should support a wind-damage threat, and perhaps a potential for a brief tornado, if the cells can become more surface-based. The threat would be the greatest with cells that can move more southeastward into the stronger instability near the coast. ..Broyles.. 05/13/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...TAE...MOB...LIX... LAT...LON 31368546 31668686 31748799 31608847 31418869 31028897 30758897 30558873 30378829 30178748 30048668 29868582 29918539 30178513 30658501 31148518 31368546