Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 760

   Mesoscale Discussion 0760
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0251 PM CDT Sun May 12 2024

   Areas affected...Texas Panhandle into South Plains

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 121951Z - 122145Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

   SUMMARY...Isolated large hail and severe gusts will be possible with
   the strongest storms in the Texas Panhandle/South Plains.

   DISCUSSION...Isolated storms have developed along the dryline as
   mid-level ascent has increased this afternoon. With low-level
   easterly flow and copious cloud cover ahead of this activity, a very
   narrow zone of modest buoyancy has developed. Shear is not
   particularly strong with northern extent, but does increase in the
   South Plains. The primary risk with these strong to marginally
   severe storms will be isolated large hail and severe gusts. Storms
   will likely weaken relatively quickly as they encounter the stable
   conditions to the east.

   ..Wendt/Thompson.. 05/12/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA...

   LAT...LON   34440154 33860164 33240166 33080190 33100235 33080250
               33380263 34000248 34970235 35090227 35990173 36460109
               36320059 34440154