Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 733

   Mesoscale Discussion 0733
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0336 PM CDT Thu May 09 2024

   Areas affected...North FL and far south GA

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 220...

   Valid 092036Z - 092130Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 220 continues.

   SUMMARY...While the bulk of damaging wind/brief tornado threat
   appears to be shifting off the Georgia coast, localized strong gusts
   may linger into parts of northeast Florida. A downstream watch
   issuance appears unlikely.

   DISCUSSION...The southeastward-propagating portion of the broad
   arcing MCS across south GA has recently moved just offshore to along
   the far southeast  GA coast. This was responsible for a swath of
   damaging winds and brief tornado reports, with measured gusts up to
   48 kts. Given modest low-level shear in the 18Z TLH sounding, and
   even weaker values noted in the more recent VWP data, convective
   outflow has surged well ahead of the MCS, especially with western
   extent. Still, with the presence of low to mid 90s surface
   temperatures and ample buoyancy ahead of the outflow, it is
   plausible that locally strong gusts may accompany deeper convection
   before it likely wanes during the early evening.

   ..Grams.. 05/09/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...CHS...JAX...TAE...

   LAT...LON   31368144 31308095 30388121 29978132 29628169 29688232
               29788302 30378387 30728389 30808328 31368144