Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 520

   Mesoscale Discussion 0520
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0744 PM CDT Tue Apr 22 2025

   Areas affected...Western Oklahoma...south-central Kansas...northwest
   Texas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 160...

   Valid 230044Z - 230215Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 160
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Isolated severe thunderstorms remain possible.

   DISCUSSION...Primary zone of low-level convergence currently extends
   from west of GBD-southeast of LBL-north of DHT. Low-level moisture
   is slowly advancing northwest into this boundary with 50+ surface
   dew points into the eastern OK Panhandle. Over the next few hours,
   LLJ is forecast to increase across the northern TX Panhandle into
   southwest KS. This may aid renewed convection north of Woodward into
   south-central KS where robust thunderstorms are ongoing, and are
   likely producing large hail.

   A small cluster of strong/severe thunderstorms is propagating east
   toward southwest OK. This activity should advance into the western
   portions of ww160 over the next hour or so. Hail remains the primary
   risk.

   ..Darrow.. 04/23/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...ICT...FWD...OUN...DDC...SJT...LUB...

   LAT...LON   33340008 38529936 38549753 33369836 33340008 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN