Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 427

   Mesoscale Discussion 0427
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1253 PM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025

   Areas affected...parts of eastern Alabama...western Georgia and the
   far northern Florida panhandle

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 132...

   Valid 061753Z - 061930Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 132 continues.

   SUMMARY...The risk for damaging winds and a couple tornadoes
   continues this afternoon.

   DISCUSSION...Across WW132, a broken line of convection with embedded
   bowing segments was observed across parts of eastern AL and western
   GA, with newer convection developing across southern AL/southeastern
   MS. Over the last hour, the southern most of the two prominent
   bowing segments has largely maintained intensity and will continue
   to pose a damaging wind and isolated tornado risk through the short
   term. However, these storms are approaching the eastern edge of the
   warm sector with the northern bow rapidly weakening. Farther south,
   the newer portions of the line have increased in intensity somewhat,
   likely aided by earlier heating and dewpoints near 70F.

   Some strengthening of the southerly low-level jet (observed from the
   MOB VAD) should keep shear profiles favorable for organized storms,
   including bows or embedded supercell structures across much of the
   warm sector. CAM guidance suggests another bowing segment or more
   organized cluster could emerge across the southern end of the line
   in the next few hours. Severe potential (e.g. a couple tornadoes and
   damaging wind gusts) appears highest with any more organized
   elements through the remainder of the afternoon as storms move into
   southern AL and parts of the FL Panhandle over the next few hours.

   ..Lyons.. 04/06/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...LIX...

   LAT...LON   30668876 32318663 33518514 34188402 34028326 33238355
               31588495 30538626 30458632 30358821 30668876 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH