US Mesoscale Discussions

Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 363

Published Date and Time: 2025-04-02 19:15:00












Mesoscale Discussion 363
< Previous MD
MD 363 graphic

   Mesoscale Discussion 0363
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0612 PM CDT Wed Apr 02 2025

   Areas affected...Portions of the Mid-South

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 98...

   Valid 022312Z - 030045Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 98 continues.

   SUMMARY...Numerous discrete supercells are intensifying in a very
   favorable environment for strong to intense tornadoes across the
   Mid-South.

   DISCUSSION...Numerous discrete right-moving supercells are
   intensifying across the open warm sector in the Mid-South as of 23Z.
   The NQA VWP depicts very large, clockwise-curved hodographs with
   ample streamwise vorticity for these storms (around 330 m2/s2 0-500m
   SRH). Given a moist/unstable boundary layer, ample low-level shear,
   and the well-established discrete supercells, several strong to
   intense tornadoes are possible through this corridor over the next
   couple hours.

   ..Weinman.. 04/02/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...JAN...LZK...

   LAT...LON   34009085 34259159 34699169 35159159 36289066 36499019
               36468975 36348926 36078903 35798902 34179016 34009085 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...155-190 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...75-90 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN


Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home













Source link

Leave a Reply