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Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2314

Published Date and Time: 2026-09-19 23:44:00



Mesoscale Discussion 2314
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   Mesoscale Discussion 2314
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1043 PM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026

   Areas affected...far northeast Kansas and portions of northern
   Missouri

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 672...

   Valid 200343Z - 200445Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 672
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Thunderstorm intensity continues to wane this evening as
   overall coverage of precipitation increases. The severe threat is
   not likely to recover and Severe Thunderstorm Watch #672 is likely
   to be canceled early.

   DISCUSSION...Ongoing showers and thunderstorms will continue across
   portions of northeast Kansas and northern Missouri this evening and
   into the morning hours. Despite a favorable thermodynamic
   environment, a cooling boundary layer, weakening lapse rates, and
   increasing widespread precipitation should limit the overall severe
   potential going forward. Evidence for this trend can be found in the
   overall slow warming of the convective complex cloud tops. 

   Although brief gusty wind or perhaps small hail cannot be ruled out,
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch #672 is likely to be canceled early.

   ..Marsh.. 09/20/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LSX...DVN...DMX...EAX...TOP...

   LAT...LON   39119459 39119522 39559546 40029515 40409465 40709379
               40729269 40559233 40119233 39669285 39299386 39119459 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


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