Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2134

   Mesoscale Discussion 2134
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0758 PM CDT Tue Aug 25 2026

   Areas affected...much of the Texas Panhandle

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 627...

   Valid 260058Z - 260200Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 627
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Severe gusts will remain likely over the next few hours. A
   few additional gusts exceeding 75 mph may still occur.

   DISCUSSION...A cold-pool-driven MCS, with a history of severe gusts
   (some reaching 80 mph) continues to propagate southeast. This MCS
   and accompanying outflow has collided with other outflow boundaries
   in a seemingly productive manner, with an uptick in reflectivity and
   wind report frequency trends noted. Ahead of the MCS resides
   relatively cooler temperatures left behind by outflow from another
   storm cluster. However, this airmass is still buoyant (e.g. 2000
   J/kg MLCAPE still present), and coincides with 30-40 kts of
   effective bulk shear. As such, severe gusts should continue with
   this cold-pool-driven MCS, with a few gusts potentially exceeding 75
   mph.

   ..Squitieri.. 08/26/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA...ABQ...

   LAT...LON   35020339 35820277 36580197 36630113 36420050 35730017
               34850003 34370022 34240094 34330179 34530282 35020339 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...75-90 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN