Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2074

   Mesoscale Discussion 2074
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0516 PM CDT Fri Aug 21 2026

   Areas affected...Southeast GA into parts of the Carolinas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 608...

   Valid 212216Z - 220015Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 608
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Locally damaging wind may continue through the early
   evening.

   DISCUSSION...Extensive deep convection is ongoing from southeast GA
   into parts of the Carolinas, which earlier produced scattered
   reports of wind damage through the afternoon. While storm
   organization has generally been limited by weak to modest deep-layer
   shear, a relatively vigorous line is ongoing east of Charlotte to
   Greensboro, NC. A narrow plume of moderate buoyancy in advance of
   this line will continue to support a short-term wind-damage threat.
   However, the longevity of the threat with this line may be limited
   by the relatively cooler and less unstable conditions downstream,
   due to earlier convection and related outflow. 

   Otherwise, sporadic wind damage remains possible from southeast GA
   into eastern SC< where deep-layer shear is weak, but a corridor of
   warmer temperatures and steeper low-level lapse rates will remain in
   place through early evening, in advance of ongoing storms.

   ..Dean.. 08/21/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...RAH...ILM...RNK...CHS...CAE...JAX...FFC...

   LAT...LON   31888260 32608200 33738062 34427978 34777964 35367954
               35747940 36247930 36107835 34207893 33487924 32228106
               31228217 31118287 31888260 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN