Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2008

   Mesoscale Discussion 2008
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0846 PM CDT Sun Aug 16 2026

   Areas affected...eastern Colorado into western Kansas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 587...

   Valid 170146Z - 170345Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 587
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Damaging wind potential may extend downstream of WW587.

   DISCUSSION...A loosely organized cluster continues to drift
   southeastward out of eastern Colorado this evening. There is some
   uncertainty to the maintenance of this cluster downstream into
   Kansas. Temperatures across western Kansas remain warm in the upper
   70s to 80s with dew points in the low to mid 60s. 00z RAOB from DDC
   sampled MLCAPE around 1100 J/kg but also fairly warm air around 700
   mb. It is possible that with the loss of daytime heating, storms may
   struggle with eastward extent given the warmer air aloft. This area
   will be monitored but downstream watch issuance remains low
   confidence at this time. Local watch extension of WW587 may be
   needed.

   ..Thornton/Gleason.. 08/17/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...PUB...

   LAT...LON   37580116 37530193 37780243 38010274 38350285 38750289
               39190261 39360208 39280130 38690101 38340087 37710094
               37580116 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN