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Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2002

Published Date and Time: 2026-08-16 18:02:00



Mesoscale Discussion 2002
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   Mesoscale Discussion 2002
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0450 PM CDT Sun Aug 16 2026

   Areas affected...eastern Colorado

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 587...

   Valid 162150Z - 162345Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 587
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Large hail and damaging wind threat continues within
   WW587.

   DISCUSSION...A cluster of storms south of the Denver Metro has
   produced severe gusts up to 62 mph. Mode remains fairly mixed, with
   multi-cell clusters and supercells ongoing across portions of
   eastern Colorado. The environment remains moderately unstable with
   around 30-35 kts of deep layer shear. Severe potential will likely
   increase with movement eastward into more available 60 F degree dew
   points. Supercells with large hail potential will continue over the
   next couple of hours before eventual transition to one or more
   linear clusters. An increase in the damaging wind threat is expected
   eastward into the lower Plains by the evening.

   ..Thornton.. 08/16/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...GLD...PUB...BOU...ABQ...

   LAT...LON   38760467 39300465 39690466 40410468 41000451 40770301
               40050259 39380246 38490246 37620276 37130347 36940402
               36910437 37050467 38760467 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


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