Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1955

   Mesoscale Discussion 1955
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0125 PM CDT Mon Aug 19 2024

   Areas affected...portions of New England

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 191825Z - 192030Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

   SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorm activity may produce strong to
   severe gusts through the afternoon.

   DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm activity ongoing along and ahead of a cold
   front across portions of New England has shown an uptick in coverage
   over the last hour. Much of the region has been under mid-level
   cloud cover through the morning. However, a few breaks in the clouds
   have allowed temperatures to warm into the 80s with MLCAPE around
   500-1000 J/kg. Deep layer shear for organization remains mostly
   offshore, with poor low to mid-level lapse rates. A few clusters of
   stronger storms may produce strong to severe gusts at times.
   Overall, the lack of support for organization of a more widespread
   severe threat will keep this threat localized precluding the need to
   for a watch.

   ..Thornton/Hart.. 08/19/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...BTV...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...CTP...
   LWX...

   LAT...LON   39177503 39167532 39297597 39877626 40557581 43067419
               43987278 43997120 43827082 43107066 42647086 41797190
               39317479 39177503