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| Mesoscale Discussion 1917 | |
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Mesoscale Discussion 1917 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1144 PM CDT Thu Aug 15 2024 Areas affected...northeastern Oklahoma...northwestern Arkansas...and southern Missouri Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 625... Valid 160444Z - 160515Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 625 continues. SUMMARY...Severe risk continues to gradually diminish across the Ozarks region and into northeastern Oklahoma. DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a continued/gradual decreasing trend in terms of the intensity of the ongoing/isolated convection across the remaining portions of the watch. Two clusters of storms - one moving east-southeastward across northeastern Oklahoma and a second over south-central Missouri just north of the Arkansas border -- remain fairly vigorous, and capable of a locally damaging wind gust or two in the short term. With time, a continued/gradual decrease in convective intensity/severe potential is expected, as the boundary layer continues to gradually stabilize. However, ample instability suggests that storms -- and perhaps a sporadic/strong gust -- may continue into the overnight hours locally. Still, with the overall wane in risk, the scheduled 16/05Z expiration of the WW appears appropriate, with new WW issuance not required. ..Goss.. 08/16/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...PAH...LSX...LZK...SGF...TSA... LAT...LON 35359624 35939608 36779370 37049317 37719202 37199083 36649092 36119372 35229563 35359624 |
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