Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1876

   Mesoscale Discussion 1876
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0357 PM CDT Fri Aug 09 2024

   Areas affected...Portions of eastern NY...southern VT...and western
   MA

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 617...

   Valid 092057Z - 092230Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 617 continues.

   SUMMARY...Locally damaging gusts and perhaps a tornado or two remain
   possible across portions of Tornado Watch 617 in this evening.

   DISCUSSION...A band of low-topped thunderstorms is tracking eastward
   across portions of eastern NY this afternoon, though weak
   instability has generally limited updraft intensity thus far.
   However, very strong west-southwesterly deep-layer flow/shear could
   still support locally damaging gusts if any updrafts within the line
   are able to mature. And, with around 400 m2/s2 effective SRH ahead
   of the convection, a brief tornado or two cannot be ruled out.

   ..Weinman.. 08/09/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...BOX...BTV...ALY...

   LAT...LON   42307386 42597375 43197349 43647381 43747366 43797335
               43607285 43327261 42627275 42147321 42107373 42307386