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Mesoscale Discussion 1865 | |
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Mesoscale Discussion 1865 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0759 AM CDT Thu Aug 08 2024 Areas affected...Eastern NC into southeast VA Concerning...Tornado Watch 613... Valid 081259Z - 081430Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 613 continues. SUMMARY...The tornado threat will continue through the morning, and gradually spread northward with time. DISCUSSION...Occasional small supercells and possible tornadoes continue to be noted within the northeast quadrant of Tropical Storm Debby, which is forecast by NHC to gradually accelerate northward through the day. The northeast quadrant will continue to be the favored area for tornado potential, due to having the most favorable wind profiles (with regional VWPs and the 12Z MHX sounding depicting 0-1 km SRH of 200-400 m2/s2), as well as somewhat stronger instability, along the eastern periphery of the larger precipitation shield. This area of favorable buoyancy/shear overlap will gradually spread northward through the day, with some tornado potential eventually moving into parts of northeast NC and southeast VA, where very moist and relatively warm conditions are already in place. ..Dean.. 08/08/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM... LAT...LON 34467739 34977877 35767911 36327903 36737772 37457663 37277618 36557572 35997554 35537549 35127563 34617649 34467739 |
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