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Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1847

Published Date and Time: 2026-08-07 02:46:00



Mesoscale Discussion 1847
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1847
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0137 AM CDT Fri Aug 07 2026

   Areas affected...parts of the Texas Panhandle

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 539...

   Valid 070637Z - 070830Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 539
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Thunderstorms within a slowly southward advancing cluster
   have been diminishing in intensity.  As this continues, the
   potential for strong to severe surface gusts is also likely to
   diminish through 2-3 AM CDT.

   DISCUSSION...Based on recent radar and satellite imagery,
   thunderstorm intensities have been diminishing.  Although attempts
   at renewed convective development are still ongoing above the
   leading edge of southward advancing outflow approaching the Amarillo
   vicinity, slowly strengthening inhibition/weaker CAPE for
   boundary-layer parcels is likely to result in further dissipation of
   convection and diminishing potential for strong to severe gusts over
   the next couple of hours.

   ..Kerr.. 08/07/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...AMA...

   LAT...LON   36620273 36450200 36170096 35960031 35250065 35130163
               35440246 35750285 36230302 36620273 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH


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