Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1820

   Mesoscale Discussion 1820
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1145 AM CDT Sun Aug 02 2026

   Areas affected...portions of Georgia...South Carolina...and western
   North Carolina

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 021645Z - 021845Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

   SUMMARY...Sporadic, locally strong wind gusts are possible through
   the afternoon. Overall severe risk is expected to remain limited and
   a severe thunderstorm watch is not anticipated.

   DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm clusters are developing within a
   destabilizing and very moist airmass early this afternoon. While
   moderate instability will overlie the region, aided by upper 70s
   dewpoints, lapse rates will remain poor and vertical shear weak. As
   a result, only transient organized cells/multi-cell clusters are
   expected. Nevertheless, the rich boundary layer moisture and PW
   values over 2 inches amid 1000-2500 J/kg MLCAPE will support some
   potential for isolated strong wind gusts through the afternoon. The
   overall severe risk is expected to remain limited, and a watch is
   not anticipated.

   ..Leitman/Mosier.. 08/02/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...RNK...CHS...CAE...GSP...FFC...TAE...

   LAT...LON   32288462 34508382 35528293 35928230 36118180 36068130
               35828109 34998061 34058072 33118111 32158211 31648336
               31608407 31788446 32288462 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH