Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1732

   Mesoscale Discussion 1732
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0441 PM CDT Sat Jul 25 2026

   Areas affected...portions of central Arizona

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible 

   Valid 252141Z - 252345Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent

   SUMMARY...Multiple severe gusts may occur with embedded downbursts
   this afternoon and evening. A couple of gusts could exceed 75 mph.

   DISCUSSION...A cluster of multicells and pulse-cellular storms have
   gradually congealed into a loosely organized MCS, which is sagging
   south-southwestward off of the higher terrain. As the MCS and its
   cold pool propagates toward the lower terrain, it will overspread a
   hot and deeply mixed boundary layer. Surface temperatures over 110
   F, amid 50s F dewpoints, yields 1500-2000 J/kg DCAPE amid 50-60 F
   surface T/Td spreads, suggesting that ample evaporative cooling
   potential exists for embedded downbursts to produce potential
   several severe gusts. Given the magnitude of evaporative cooling
   potential present, 75+ mph gusts may occur. One or more haboobs may
   develop with this storm cluster and produce low-visibility
   conditions as well.

   ..Squitieri/Hart.. 07/25/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...TWC...FGZ...PSR...

   LAT...LON   34811251 34331090 33831000 33210968 32881000 32711051
               32561099 32731162 33021217 33281259 33551275 33791281
               34811251 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH