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Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1697

Published Date and Time: 2026-07-21 17:15:00



Mesoscale Discussion 1697
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1697
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0343 PM CDT Tue Jul 21 2026

   Areas affected...eastern Virginia into the DelMarVa

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 509...

   Valid 212043Z - 212215Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 509
   continues.

   SUMMARY...The severe weather threat will continue through the
   afternoon and into the evening.

   DISCUSSION...Storms across Virginia and into the DelMarVa have
   mostly lacked structure thus far with only occasional stronger
   multi-cell storms. As height falls overspread the area this evening,
   expect more robust convection with a greater damaging wind threat
   and an eventual line of storms along or ahead of the cold front,
   advances east. In addition, strengthening mid-level and low-level
   flow will assist in storm organization, further supporting the
   threat.

   ..Bentley.. 07/21/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...LWX...RNK...

   LAT...LON   36648039 37457909 38317774 38907701 39477640 39497553
               39107487 38507479 37967507 37297548 36677596 36648039 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-110 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


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