Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1662

   Mesoscale Discussion 1662
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0331 PM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026

   Areas affected...Southern Mid-Atlantic into North Carolina

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 498...

   Valid 192031Z - 192200Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 498
   continues.

   SUMMARY...A risk for damaging winds will continue into early
   evening. The greatest risk will be in areas where temperatures are
   90+ F.

   DISCUSSION...Scattered convection within southern Virginia and
   central/eastern North Carolina has led to considerable convective
   overturning. Within a corridor from Greensboro to Greenville,
   temperatures remain in the low/mid 90s F. Visible satellite shows
   towering cumulus increasing in parts of this zone as well. This
   region will likely see the greatest potential for strong/damaging
   winds given the locally steeper low-level lapse rates. Otherwise,
   the cold front continues to sag southward this afternoon into
   southern Virginia. Dewpoints are falling rapidly as this occurs. The
   severe risk should gradually decrease from northwest to southeast as
   this trends continues into the evening.

   ..Wendt.. 07/19/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...RNK...

   LAT...LON   35037923 36038033 36878024 37417906 37467771 37177644
               36167579 35437582 34727674 34627729 35037923 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH