Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1656

   Mesoscale Discussion 1656
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0300 PM CDT Tue Jul 16 2024

   Areas affected...Central and Eastern New York into Vermont

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 546...547...

   Valid 162000Z - 162130Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 546, 547
   continues.

   SUMMARY...The severe weather threat continues for WW 547, with
   measured wind gusts of 65+ MPH and a few tornadoes possible.

   DISCUSSION...The severe weather threat continues for Central and
   Eastern New York this afternoon, as an ongoing linear convective
   complex moves across the highlight area. Measured wind gusts of 65+
   MPH have already been observed, in addition to tornadoes. This
   convective activity is expected to persist over the next few hours
   as it moves eastward into Vermont.

   There is a localized corridor of enhanced tornado potential in the
   center of the convective line, where low-level convective
   organization and rotation is concentrated in a favorable environment
   of STP > 1. Multiple embedded circulations have been observed
   already, and will likely persist in the storm term.

   ..Halbert/Squitieri.. 07/16/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...BOX...BTV...ALY...BGM...BUF...

   LAT...LON   42187437 42217488 42407533 42607549 42887543 43177542
               43457541 43807531 44147517 44417496 44667430 44757352
               44707293 44497247 44207225 43777233 43187258 42847283
               42537308 42177363 42187437