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Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1627

Published Date and Time: 2024-07-15 05:40:03












Mesoscale Discussion 1627
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1627
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0437 AM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024

   Areas affected...Far Southeast North Dakota...Far Northeast South
   Dakota...Western and Southwestern Minnesota

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 536...

   Valid 150937Z - 151130Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 536
   continues.

   SUMMARY...An isolated severe threat may continue for a couple more
   hours. Isolated severe gusts and hail will be the primary threats.
   Watch issuance is not expected to the southeast of WW 536.

   DISCUSSION...The latest mosaic radar imagery shows a cluster of
   strong thunderstorms from far southeast North Dakota into southwest
   Minnesota, which is located along the eastern edge of a moderately
   unstable airmass. The activity is being supported by a subtle
   shortwave trough over the northern Plains, and by a 30 to 40 knot
   low-level jet over central and northeast South Dakota. As the storms
   move southeastward across western Minnesota over the next few hours,
   an isolated severe threat should continue. However, instability is
   considerably weaker over southwestern Minnesota, suggesting that the
   overall intensity of the cluster should gradually decrease as
   daybreak approaches.

   ..Broyles.. 07/15/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...MPX...FGF...FSD...ABR...

   LAT...LON   46689625 46799681 46689725 46389756 46059761 45469718
               44119562 43679481 43989418 44979470 45719524 46689625 


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