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Mesoscale Discussion 1616 | |
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Mesoscale Discussion 1616 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0337 PM CDT Sun Jul 14 2024 Areas affected...Parts of southern/central OH into northern KY and western WV Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 532... Valid 142037Z - 142200Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 532 continues. SUMMARY...Isolated damaging to severe wind gusts remain possible into early evening. DISCUSSION...An MCS moving across southwest OH has recently produced a 51 kt measured gust at KDAY and 57 kt at KILN. The immediate downstream thermodynamic environment remains somewhat favorable, with steep low-level lapse rates and MLCAPE of 1000-1500 J/kg, so potentially damaging wind gusts of 50-65 mph will remain possible through late afternoon. Farther downstream, instability weakens within a drier environment across southeast OH into western WV. With some warming of cloud tops already noted on IR imagery, gradual weakening of this MCS seems likely with time into the evening. With the remaining threat potentially becoming rather isolated and confined in areal extent, downstream watch issuance is considered unlikely at this time. However, some threat for isolated damaging wind may persist into parts of southeast OH and extreme western WV into early evening. ..Dean/Hart.. 07/14/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...PBZ...RLX...CLE...ILN... LAT...LON 40438290 40388193 40098139 38998150 38588240 38548345 38538378 38708412 38848428 39118436 39168404 39208373 39418337 40438290 |
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