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| Mesoscale Discussion 1612 | |
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Mesoscale Discussion 1612
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0908 AM CDT Sun Jul 14 2024
Areas affected...Northeast IL...northern IN...western OH...extreme
southern MI
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible
Valid 141408Z - 141615Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent
SUMMARY...Damaging-wind potential may increase through the morning.
DISCUSSION...A remnant MCS is moving across northeast IL this
morning, with some recent intensification noted along the gust front
over the last hour. With relatively limited cloudiness noted over
northern IN, diurnal destabilization is expected through the morning
downstream of this system, with strengthening low-level lapse rates
and MLCAPE potentially increasing to near/above 2000 J/kg. This
destabilization may allow for continued reorganization of the
remnant MCS, with a resulting increase in damaging-wind potential as
it tracks east-southeastward through the morning. Watch issuance is
possible if further short-term intensification is noted this
morning.
..Dean/Hart.. 07/14/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...CLE...ILN...DTX...IWX...GRR...IND...LOT...ILX...
LAT...LON 41828746 42148627 41828417 41278329 40198329 39728407
39798493 40078660 40228718 40578805 41228843 41828746
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