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| Mesoscale Discussion 1601 | |
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Mesoscale Discussion 1601 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0716 PM CDT Sat Jul 13 2024 Areas affected...North-central MN and far southeast ND Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 524... Valid 140016Z - 140145Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 524 continues. SUMMARY...A brief tornado, locally damaging winds, and isolated severe hail will remain the primary threats through about dusk. An increasing risk for damaging winds may occur later this evening towards parts of west-central to north-central Minnesota. DISCUSSION...Multiple areas of sustained convection are ongoing, the more prominent of which are near the international border in the Lake of the Woods area, and separately along the surface front/trough over far southeast ND into northwest MN. This latter convection has been holding nearly stationary, which will allow for a progressively deeper cold pool to form across northwest MN. Recent HRRR runs and afternoon guidance remain insistent on upscale growth occurring to the east-southeast into portions of central MN. This appears plausible given the presence of a substantial MLCAPE gradient lying to the southeast of these ongoing storms. ..Grams.. 07/14/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...FGF...ABR... LAT...LON 47279676 47449618 47809565 48809536 49109490 49089416 48799332 48689328 46859341 46059391 45849461 45909594 46219691 46609713 47279676 |
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