Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1597

   Mesoscale Discussion 1597
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0941 PM CDT Sat Jul 11 2026

   Areas affected...southern Arizona

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 484...

   Valid 120241Z - 120445Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 484
   continues.

   SUMMARY...The potential for isolated severe wind gusts will continue
   for the next 1-2 hours.

   DISCUSSION...Earlier intense thunderstorms that moved through the
   Tucson area have since weakened, per MRMS reflectivity trends. That
   observation is consistent with latest objective analysis, which
   suggests that convective inhibition is increasing across the
   discussion area. Nonetheless, the existence of an active cold pool
   and some radar indication of forward-propagational characteristics
   with the ongoing storms over central Pima County suggest a continued
   risk for isolated severe wind gusts for the next 1-2 hours as storms
   move into the western part of the county.

   ..Mead.. 07/12/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...TWC...PSR...

   LAT...LON   33041207 32971085 32520991 32000928 31400944 31411103
               31701199 32021317 32451328 32581234 33041207 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH