Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1571

   Mesoscale Discussion 1571
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1144 PM CDT Thu Jul 09 2026

   Areas affected...Southwest/south-central NE into western/central KS

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 478...

   Valid 100444Z - 100615Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 478
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Localized severe gusts and perhaps isolated hail may
   continue into the early morning.

   DISCUSSION...A convective line with a history of producing severe
   gusts has shown recent signs of weakening across western KS. With
   increasing CINH downstream into central KS, a notable uptick in
   storm organization is not currently anticipated. However, given the
   presence of a relatively well established cold pool and rear-inflow
   jet (noted on the KGLD VWP), strong to localized severe gusts will
   remain possible until a more definitive weakening trend occurs. 

   Farther north, merging outflows have resulted in storm
   intensification near North Platte. Isolated hail may continue to be
   a threat in the short term with this storm, while localized strong
   to severe gusts may eventually spread into south-central NE, where
   moderate buoyancy remains in place.

   ..Dean.. 07/10/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...ICT...GID...LBF...DDC...GLD...

   LAT...LON   41390069 41730012 41079929 39939870 38899835 37739869
               37789982 37860061 38310051 38980014 39840049 40790062
               41390069 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN