2024-07-07 16:14:03
1720383581
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Mesoscale Discussion 1550 | |
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Mesoscale Discussion 1550 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0312 PM CDT Sun Jul 07 2024 Areas affected...north-central into much of eastern Colorado Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 072012Z - 072245Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Storms are likely to increase along the Front Range this afternoon, with many producing hail and locally strong gusts as they continue into the Plains through evening. DISCUSSION...Visible imagery shows an expansive cumulus field over much of eastern Colorado where surface winds remain out of the east and northeast. Weak thunderstorms have developed into far north-central CO with increasing northern surface winds with high pressure to the north. Pressures continue to fall near the Colorado Springs area. While pockets of drier air do exist around the Denver area, in general, a moist air mass exists, especially over southeast CO with mid to upper 50s F dewpoints. Given cool midlevel temperatures, additional heating will result in sufficient instability to sustained scattered severe cells. Low-level/weak easterlies below increasing mid to high level winds will result in favorable shear profiles for large hail. By evening, storms are expected to consolidate into an MCS pushing into southeast CO, with damaging winds possible. ..Jewell/Guyer.. 07/07/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...GLD...PUB...BOU... LAT...LON 40410325 39680252 38870267 38190345 38050424 38270551 39230539 39850555 40400559 40680553 40900509 40860442 40410325 |
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