2024-07-03 16:59:02
1720040900
|
Mesoscale Discussion 1523 | |
< Previous MD | |
![]() |
|
Mesoscale Discussion 1523 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0357 PM CDT Wed Jul 03 2024 Areas affected...eastern Colorado into western Kansas Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 032057Z - 032300Z Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent SUMMARY...Thunderstorms capable of large hail and damaging wind to continue through the evening. DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms have developed across eastern Colorado this afternoon along a lee trough located in the central high Plains, with additional development expected through the rest of the afternoon and evening. Ahead of this activity, portions of eastern Colorado into western Kansas have destabilized with daytime heating. MLCAPE around 1000-2000 J/kg is observed in mesoanalysis amid deep layer shear of 40-50 kts. Storm mode will initially favor supercells with potential for large hail, damaging wind, and perhaps a tornado. Through the evening, cells may attempt to merge along outflow with risk of damaging wind increasing. A watch may be needed in the next couple of hours. ..Thornton/Gleason.. 07/03/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...GID...DDC...GLD...PUB...BOU... LAT...LON 39710420 40370325 40220041 39299951 38429955 37540002 37190043 37040084 37090232 37090373 37330419 37960422 39710420 |
|
Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home |