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Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1470

2024-06-29 00:56:05

Mesoscale Discussion 1470
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1470
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1155 PM CDT Fri Jun 28 2024

   Areas affected...portions of western Missouri

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 481...

   Valid 290455Z - 290630Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 481

   SUMMARY...A few additional damaging gusts may accompany ongoing
   storms over western MO for a few more hours.

   DISCUSSION...An MCS continues to progress east-southeast across
   western MO, where a couple of strong/damaging wind gusts have been
   reported in the past couple of hours. Buoyancy decreases with
   eastward extent ahead of the MCS, so questions remain regarding how
   long the severe wind threat may last. Nonetheless, strong 850 mb WAA
   and over 3000 J/kg of MUCAPE in the immediate vicinity of the MCS
   suggests that strong wind gusts should remain possible for at least
   a couple more hours. Meanwhile, the southwesterly LLJ overspreading
   the remnant cold pool behind the MCS leading line is also supporting
   back-building convection. If back-building cellular development is
   strong enough, some hail may be observed as well.

   ..Squitieri.. 06/29/2024

   ...Please see for graphic product...


   LAT...LON   38619503 38819382 38699319 38299260 37959255 37799299
               37689351 37679407 37789472 37929517 38619503 

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