Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1419

   Mesoscale Discussion 1419
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1017 PM CDT Tue Jun 25 2024

   Areas affected...central Oklahoma

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 260317Z - 260415Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

   SUMMARY...Severe risk to increase across the Oklahoma City metro
   area in the next hour as a cluster of storms moves southward. 
   Isolated/local nature of the risk should preclude any need for WW
   issuance.

   DISCUSSION...A cluster of strong/severe storms continues moving
   southward across central Oklahoma, through a moist/very unstable
   airmass -- aided by a gradually increasing south-southwesterly
   low-level jet.  The storms continue to exhibit radar signatures
   consistent with strong winds and large hail, including 65 kt
   inbounds at 1500 feet, and hail near golf ball size.  While the hail
   core seems to be diminishing gradually over the past 15 minutes,
   severe/damaging gusts are expected across portions of the metro
   area.

   ..Goss/Gleason.. 06/26/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...OUN...

   LAT...LON   35189761 35809765 35699668 35079699 34919732 35189761