Mesoscale Discussion 1367
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0150 PM CDT Sun Jun 28 2026
Areas affected...portions of the Carolinas and far eastern Georgia
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 281850Z - 282045Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...A few damaging gusts are possible this afternoon across
portions of the Carolinas and far eastern Georgia. A watch is not
anticipated, though trends will be monitored.
DISCUSSION...A subtle mid-level wave is traversing generally weak
west-northwesterly flow across the southern Appalachians, leading to
a weak surface low pressure in central North Carolina. These are
serving as focuses for thunderstorm development this afternoon
across the Carolinas. Ahead of these storms, a very deep, moist air
mass is in place, with precipitable water values near or above 2 in
across the region, and this may contribute to a threat for damaging
gusts this afternoon due to water-loading in downdrafts. However,
generally westerly surface winds should result in weak convergence
and weak shear, leading to poorly-organized convection. As such,
damaging gusts are currently expected to remain too sporadic to
justify a watch, though trends will be monitored.
..Supinie/Guyer.. 06/28/2026
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...RNK...CHS...CAE...GSP...
FFC...
LAT...LON 35148338 36448019 36597898 36337802 36177741 35517683
34717734 33398026 33338203 33708278 34518358 34738362
35148338
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
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