US Mesoscale Discussions

Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1306

Published Date and Time: 2026-06-25 01:00:00



   Mesoscale Discussion 1306
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1126 PM CDT Wed Jun 24 2026

   Areas affected...portions of northeastern Colorado into southwestern
   Nebraska and far northwestern Kansas

   Concerning...Tornado and Severe Thunderstorm Watches 389...390...

   Valid 250426Z - 250530Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado and Severe Thunderstorm
   Watches 389, 390 continues.

   SUMMARY...The severe wind/hail threat will continue for several more
   hours. Large hail should be expected with supercells, and severe
   gusts will be most likely with a possible developing MCS in
   northeastern CO.

   DISCUSSION...Multiple supercells continue to track southeast across
   northeastern CO into southwestern NE and far northwestern KS, some
   with a history of strong to severe gusts and up to golfball sized
   hail. While nocturnal cooling is ongoing, 7-8 C/km mid-level lapse
   rates ahead of the storms are contributing to nearly 2000 J/kg of
   MUCAPE, amid 40-60 kts of effective bulk shear, which is adequate in
   supporting a continued severe wind/hail threat. Severe hail will be
   most likely with established storm cores in longer lived supercells.
   Meanwhile severe gusts will occur with merging supercells,
   particularly with the cluster extending from Arapahoe to Yuma
   County, CO. If this MCS can further intensify, a more concentrated
   severe gust threat may manifest, including the possibility of gusts
   exceeding 75 mph.

   ..Squitieri.. 06/25/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...GID...LBF...DDC...GLD...PUB...BOU...

   LAT...LON   39600516 40180355 40660123 40789936 40589890 40099861
               39809877 39499933 39140000 38820109 38720217 38740319
               38990432 39190494 39600516 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...75-90 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN



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