Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1298

   Mesoscale Discussion 1298
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0547 PM CDT Wed Jun 24 2026

   Areas affected...portions of eastern New Mexico into southeastern
   Colorado

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 388...

   Valid 242247Z - 242345Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 388
   continues.

   SUMMARY...A threat for severe gusts and perhaps hail continues
   across portions of the Southern Plains for at least a few more
   hours.

   DISCUSSION...Multicells and supercells have developed and
   intensified across portions of far southeastern CO into eastern NM,
   where MRMS MESH suggests that 1-2 inch hail has been falling with
   these storms. 40+ kts of effective bulk shear and up to 2000 J/kg
   MLCAPE precede these storms, so a severe gust/hail threat should
   persist with the stronger, longer lived storms.

   ..Squitieri.. 06/24/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...PUB...BOU...ABQ...

   LAT...LON   34240551 38140501 38910456 38620372 36250342 34990314
               34250331 33940364 33920464 34240551 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN