Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1279

   Mesoscale Discussion 1279
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0345 PM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026

   Areas affected...portions of north Florida

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 232045Z - 232215Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...A thunderstorm cluster will develop east/southeast through
   the remainder of the afternoon. Occasional gusty winds will be
   possible with these storms, though severe risk is expected to be
   limited.

   DISCUSSION...A cluster of storms has shown some better organization
   recently as it continues to propagate east/southeast. This activity
   is occurring within a very moist and unstable airmass. Steep
   low-level lapse rates may support occasionally strong/locally
   damaging wind gusts until the storms move offshore. Very weak
   vertical shear should temper the overall severe risk. A watch is not
   expected.

   ..Leitman/Guyer.. 06/23/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...TBW...JAX...TAE...

   LAT...LON   30858217 30508121 29748097 29508136 29458209 29598292
               29758331 30058345 30318315 30858217 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH