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Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1266

Mesoscale Discussion 1266
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1266
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0843 PM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

   Areas affected...western Kansas...southern Nebraska

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 416...

   Valid 150143Z - 150245Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 416

   SUMMARY...Threat for damaging winds and a few instances of severe
   hail continues within WW416.

   DISCUSSION...A line of thunderstorms continues across western Kansas
   into southern Nebraska with recent reports of 50-60 mph in
   northwestern Kansas. This line continues to consolidate along
   outflow surging to the east and northeast. Surface objective
   analysis continues to show ample instability ahead of this line,
   with 1500-2000 J/kg MLCAPE and steep low to mid-level lapse rates
   across central Kansas/southern Nebraska. This environment was also
   sampled in 00z soundings from DDC (Dodge City, KS) and LBF (North
   Platte, NE) which observed steep lapse rates and large instability
   throughout the profile. The risk of damaging wind and some instances
   of hail will continue through the next few hours.

   ..Thornton.. 06/15/2024

   ...Please see for graphic product...


   LAT...LON   38179978 37950067 37950087 38030106 38190123 39210164
               39810183 40160203 40530201 41090129 41120044 40339928
               39859927 38939944 38179978 

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