US Mesoscale Discussions

Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1224

   Mesoscale Discussion 1224
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0916 PM CDT Sun Jun 09 2024

   Areas affected...Central/southern AR into northern MS

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 401...

   Valid 100216Z - 100345Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 401

   SUMMARY...A strong storm or two remains possible late this evening,
   but any remaining severe threat is expected to be isolated.

   DISCUSSION...Convection has generally weakened and become less
   organized this evening from central AR into northern MS, with a
   tendency for storms to be undercut by an outflow-reinforced front.
   However, relatively rich low-level moisture persists north of the
   outflow, and moderate buoyancy could still support a few stronger
   storms late this evening, with effective shear still marginally
   supportive of organized convection. Isolated hail and/or damaging
   gusts cannot be ruled out late this evening, especially with any
   left-moving cell (such as the severe storm earlier in Lee County,
   MS). However, if current trends continue, additional watch issuance
   across the area after the expiration of WW 401 is not anticipated.

   ..Dean/Bunting.. 06/10/2024

   ...Please see for graphic product...


   LAT...LON   34489443 34839324 35029233 34589038 34028907 33458856
               33078865 32998914 33109057 34199444 34489443 

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