US Mesoscale Discussions

Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1058

   Mesoscale Discussion 1058
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0703 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024

   Areas affected...Portions of West Texas

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 344...345...

   Valid 290003Z - 290130Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 344, 345 continues.

   SUMMARY...The threat of large hail near 2-3" in diameter, severe
   wind gusts, and perhaps a tornado or two will continue across
   portions of West Texas through sunset.

   DISCUSSION...A few discrete supercells from west of Lubbock to just
   southeast of Tahoka will continue to progress east and southeastward
   through the early evening hours. Several large hail reports have
   been noted with these thunderstorms, with nearly a 5" hail stone
   observed northwest of Levelland. The environment remains favorable
   for supercells, and specifically large hail, given steep mid-level
   lapse rates of 8-8.5 C/km, and westerly deep effective shear of
   60-70 kt via the MAF & LBB VAD profilers. However, as the evening
   progresses, maximum hail sizes should decrease with waning buoyancy.

   ..Barnes.. 05/29/2024

   ...Please see for graphic product...


   LAT...LON   32940245 33330266 33860281 33930248 34070192 34030136
               33670001 33020004 32390079 32400194 32940245 

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